Our stretch of nasty and chilly weather has finally come to an end. High pressure will set up camp southeast of the area and bring in unseasonably warm air this weekend continuing into next week. Latest model guidance has been showing a weak tropical system dropping a significant amount of rain on the Delaware Valley. The timeframe of this storm will be Wednesday or Thursday of next week. I will continue to monitor this situation.
Over the last few weeks, I have received a few inquiries about the upcoming winter. I am still waiting to see how the pattern will set up later in the month. As of right now, it looks to be a snowy winter with the La Niña (cooler Pacific temperatures) projected to shift to an El Niño (warmer Pacific temperatures). Historically, winters where this transition takes place are snowier and colder than average. I will issue an official forecast later in the month.
Here is the five day forecast:
Lastly, this September was also the third wettest September on record. By the end of the year, we will most likely break the yearly rain record.
As it looks now from the latest computer models, the presumed “Nor Easter” that was expecting to arrive this coming Thursday will not be as much of a weather event as I had hoped. The two low pressure systems that were expected to phase (join together as one larger storm) before passing by our area are now looking as if they won’t join together until they pass north of the region. This would only give us cloudy skies and a few showers to accompany cool, raw temperatures.
Here is a map I made to illustrate why we won’t be dealing with a full-fledged Nor Easter this coming Thursday:
The rest of this week is looking to have highs in the 50s and lows in the mid to lower 30s. In the long-term, we are looking at a few storms that could give us some trouble later this weekend and into next week.
If any other details or changes arise from the upcoming storm, I will make sure to post them here. Otherwise have a nice night!
Hello everyone! It has been a very boring time for weather lately. There is one thing to be excited about which are the unseasonably warm temperatures lately. I am calling for temps in the 50s for most of the week. There is a rainstorm coming up Saturday with the potential for flooding, so watch out for that. Most of the main snow is already gone and we’ll probably not see the white stuff until next winter 😦 In a few weeks, I have a feeling severe weather season will finally start up!!
Tonight: Clear for most of the night. Fairly chilly Low 33
Tomorrow: Warming up nicely by the afternoon. Sunny. Hi 58
Tomorrow Night: Clear in the early evening, becoming partly cloudy overnight Low 37
Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy. Hi 60 (if sun stays out in afternoon) Low 43
Thursday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day Hi 54 Low 44
Anyway, here is a map I made for the next storm coming later this week:
Sorry guys that I haven’t updated all day, its just been really busy for me lately…I promise I’ll be back full force tomorrow afternoon with my time-line of the next RAINstorm. Yes, it turned out that my map was right on about the upcoming storm. This upcoming week has been one of the hardest to forecast of the whole winter, I have no idea what is going to happen. The only thing I DO know is that there won’t be much sun for the entire week starting Monday and we are looking at THREE storm systems in our vicinity this week! And that leads up to my forecast:
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy throughout the day, rain arriving late Hi 41
Tomorrow Night: Rain, steady at times. Total rainfall of 1/2 inch. Low 34
Tuesday: Tuesday is in question… rain will slow down; drizzle throughout the day. Rain will pick up again at night from the second storm (maybe a mix in the northern coverage area) Hi 40Low 32
Wednesday: Rain will slow up and maybe end as snow (that is a big maybe!!). Another lull of precipitation throughout the day with the third system arriving at night with rain (or mix) (or snow)! Very much in question. Hi 38Low 32
What’s coming tomorrow you ask? The week past in review, the temp and precip compared to average of last week, and more on these very puzzling storm systems approaching our area!
It was a beautiful day today, not a cloud in the sky. Some people around the area have almost three feet of snow on the ground from this past storm and the February 6th storm. Even though the next few days will be bitterly cold, the sun will help melt the snowpack slowly and steadily, preventing any flooding issues around the area. Now to the forecast:
Tonight: Clear skies and cold Low 18
Tomorrow: Another beautiful day in the making, still a little breezy Hi 32
Tomorrow Night: Clear skies Low 19
Saturday: A low pressure system passes South of us, clouds shouldn’t make it to the coverage area. Hi 30Low 18
Sunday: Sunny with a few high clouds. Becoming partly cloudy at night. Hi 33Low 20
Coming up later tonight: Clipper system passes through the area Monday, Jim Kosek, and NAO values