Forecast for Feb 9th and Beyond


Hello everyone. Before we get onto the three day forecast, I just want to reflect on the upcoming storm on Wednesday. We are currently under a Winter Storm Warning until midnight Wednesday. I think there could be a Blizzard warning as the day progresses Wednesday.

Here is my analysis:

Right now, there are two pieces of energy (or as common folk call them, storms!) in the midwest. As these two systems propel east by the jet-stream, they will phase together as one super large low pressure system off the New Jersey coast come Wednesday morning. Because of the significant phasing, the “nor-easter” will pretty much stall in the Atlantic for a few hours.

I have an image of what the phasing will look like according to the NAM weather model:

Phasing of the the Two Storms

Now, to the forecast

Tonight: Clear Skies and very cold, Low 14

Tomorrow: Increasing Clouds as the day progresses. Hi 32

Tomorrow Night:  Snow Likely Overnight. Accumulations of 4-6 inches. Low 25

Wednesday: Snow winds down as two systems phase in the morning. Snow picks up heavy in the afternoon. Blizzard conditions possible.  Additional snow accumulations of 6-10 inches. Hi 29

Wednesday Night: Heavy snow in the evening (1 to 2″ per hour rates?), then winding down overnight. Low 20

Thursday & Thursday Night: Clearing out with a partly cloudy sky. Hi 31 Low 17


Forecast for Feb 8 and Beyond…


Here is the forecast for the next three days of this week (yes it does include the Wednesday storm!!)

Tonight:  Mostly Clear and extremely cold, low 11

Tomorrow: Clear and cold hi 30

Tomorrow Night: Mostly Clear Low 12

Tuesday and Tuesday Night:Becoming mostly cloudy as the day progresses. Chance of snow late at night. Hi 34 Low 25

Wednesday and Wednesday Night: Watch for significant snowstorm. Accumulations of 6 inches +. Hi 31 Low 23

I am going to attempt to make a preliminary snow map for the upcoming storm.

Otherwise enjoy this picture I found of what is being called the North American Blizzard of 2010: