The Snow Map and Explaination


I’m so sorry for the extremely long delay on my snow map; the application I use to make it kept crashing when I saved the map, so I had to keep starting over.

The Snowicane of 2010 is going to be a monster. It will go up the coast and stall out in over Short Hills NJ for a little while. As the storm stalls, it will also bring heavy snows and winds to our area for an extended period of time. The weather models have finally cut down the errors in their runs, so I am pretty confident about this storm. Here is the timetable for it:

6:00 AM Thursday: Snow starts up in most of the area, going from south to North

1:00 PM-7:00 PM Thursday: Heavy snows and Blizzard conditions plague the area during the afternoon on Thursday. Expect blizzard conditions and maybe a BLIZZARD WARNING.

8:00 PM Thursday- 8:00 AM Friday: During this time period, the storm will stall over North Jersey and bring moderate to heavy snow throughout Thursday Night

12:00 PM Friday: Snow starts to wind down and storm weakens and starts to pull out

1:00 PM Friday- 8:00 AM Saturday: Scattered Snow Showers throughout Friday

Note that there is a WINTER STORM WARNING in effect until 12:00 Pm Friday.

AND NOW DRUM ROLL!!! MY MAP:

Snowicane Snow Map

Also, there is a storm that may hit the area next Wednesday, with some MORE snow!!! This could be the last snowstorm of the season!

A Little Explaination for the Upcoming 3rd Major Blizzard of 2010


Update at 11:30: The newest models just came out and are going with a general 12-15 inches of snow. Anything could change right now considering the model’s inconsistency. 6ABC news called this storm a hurricane with snow aka a snowicane! This storm is really blowing me away with its size and amount of precipitation that the models are projecting with it! Also I forgot to mention earlier that a WINTER STORM WATCH is issued for late Wednesday Night in to Friday. I would expect a WINTER STORM WARNING by tomorrow morning followed by a BLIZZARD WARNING during the storm!

This storm will be big. What defines big, you ask? A low pressure with winds that are going to be sustained in the 40 mph range throughout the Philaburbia Coverage Area. This storm won’t be just gigantic, it is also going to last a very long time. It is expected to start Thursday morning (8:00 AM range?) and end by late Friday night. This will most likely be a paralyzing storm for most of the region with schools closing on Thursday and Friday and businesses shutting down. There will be many, many power outages as well because of the heavy nature of the snow; great for snowmen, but terrible for tree branches and power lines. I am not confident to post a snow map yet because the last model run wasn’t as strong with this storm.

Note that this storm has a potential of being a huge bust (failure) because of the models inconsistency! This is just my opinion on what I think will happen based on the pattern of this winter.

Anyway,  here is a picture of the storm I found on Accuweather.com…I found it very intriguing because this monstrous low pressure is right over Mercer county, which is right in the area!:

Low Pressure System Over Delaware River with Strong Winds

The lines represent the wind speed: the closer they are to each other, the higher the winds

Hopefully, I’ll be able to post a snow map either later tonight or tomorrow afternoon…