Forecast for Sunday, February 21st to Tuesday, February 23rd

Difficult: that is all I have to say about the upcoming storm. The weather models are going all over the place and I may have to adjust my map tomorrow sometime…. One model, the NAM, is saying we get 6-8 inches of very wet and heavy snow. The other (GFS) is saying we get more like my snow map shows, but with 3 inches of rain!!! If this were to occur, major flooding from the melting of the snow-pack would plague the area. By tomorrow morning I will give you an update from the overnight models.

Here is the very undecided forecast for Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday:

Tonight: Clear skies throughout the night Low 27

Tomorrow: Mostly clear in the morning becoming Partly cloudy by the afternoon Hi 43

Tomorrow Night: Partly to mostly cloudy Low 30

Monday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day with a chance of rain/snow by the evening Hi 40 Low 32

Tuesday: Mostly rain in the southern areas. Maybe a snowstorm for the northern areas… right now just going with mix/rain. Hi 38 Low 32

Tomorrow in the weather: New revelation of upcoming storm by 11:00 AM, another update in the evening (more of a specific snowmap)

Snow Map for Tuesday’s Wintry Mix Storm

Well, it turns out that the models are going with the warmer scenario for Monday Night/ Tuesday. I have made my preliminary map for Tuesday based on this warmer scenario. I do still have some insecurities about this storm. The latest model runs have been colder for this storm, which would make the snow to mix line come down to the Philaburbia Coverage Area. Before I go on the “cold and snowy” bus for this storm, I need to see some verification from the models this afternoon and evening before I make the snow line further south.

Preliminary "Mix Map" for Tuesday February 23rd

Looking to the future: The weather models are playing the “back-forth” game with the Thursday storm. I still think that we will get a decent amount of snow Thursday.

All in all, this week is looking to be a very busy week for the weather (It could be the last week we get snow this season!).

Forecast for Saturday February 20th

Hello everyone, sorry for the late posting. Well, tomorrow morning I will post my “snow map”, even though most of this storm will be in the form of rain. There just isn’t enough cold air in the system to give us any snow. I do believe that the northern part of the area could get mixed precipitation. I am now looking at a storm following right behind this one (Wednesday night into Thursday)… right now it is looking very promising for an all snow event. The thing that will be decided later will be: How much snow? And when exactly? This storm is still pretty far out and could change on the models by tomorrow and turn out to be nothing…I am just saying that there’s something on the weather models right now. If this storm were to occur, I could see schools closing Thursday and maybe Friday as  well.

Here is the forecast:

Tonight: Getting pretty cold overnight. Winds dying down. Low 26

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy and warm. Hi 44

Tomorrow Night: Clear skies and becoming breezy again. Low 28

Sunday: A repeat of Saturday. Partly cloudy and a little windy Hi 42 Low 27

Monday: A little sun in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy by the afternoon. Rain will arrive by nighttime (a little wintry mix in the northern areas). Hi 37 Low 33

Forecast for Friday February 19th and More About the Next Storm

I have been hearing much talk about the next threat of snow coming up on Monday night into Tuesday. Right now, it is hard to imagine an all snow event, according to the models there isn’t any high pressure feeding the cold air into the system. This cold air is what gives us those huge blizzards we’ve been getting!

The GFS model is going with a mix/slop approach to the storm…maybe correct (or maybe not ). I’m still leaning toward a 75% snowstorm and the rest a rain/snow mix. I know of a few meteorologists who  believe that this storm will pull the cold air in; just like every other storm we’ve had this season. Nobody is really sure right now in the “game” One thing I am confident in is that a  winter storm watch will be up by Sunday afternoon. I will have a preliminary map tomorrow night. Here is a precipitation type map from the latest GFS weather model which shows the wintry mix of precipitation (and some ice 😦 )

Precipitation Type Map Shows Wintry Mix for Area

And now for the forecast:

Tonight: Mostly clear very, very slight chance of a scattered flurry. Low 28

Tomorrow: Getting toasty 🙂 Sunny skies Hi 41

Tomorrow Night: Getting below freezing at night, watch for refreeze of melted snow Low 26

Saturday: Sunny skies, decent amount of snow-pack melting Hi 40 Low 26

Sunday: Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon, another nice day though Hi 43 Low 28

Remember to tell all of your friends about Philaburbia Weather Blog (by the way, we’re on google now!!!)

Forecast for Thursday Feb 18th and Beyond….

Hello everyone, sorry that I didn’t post much today, its been very busy for me lately. All I have tonight is the forecast. Right now the Monday-Tuesday storm for next week looks very questionable precipitation-wise. I know for a fact that we will get some type of water (frozen or not?) falling from the sky during that time period. I will probably post a preliminatry map Friday or Saturday with a discussion tomorrow night if I have time!

Tonight: Partly cloudy, watch for some lake effect snow showers around. Low 25

Tomorrow: Mostly sunny with calm winds! Hi 38

Tomorrow Night: Clear and chilly Low 23

Friday: Warmer and sunny Hi 40 Low 27

Saturday: Once again a perfect mid-winter day Hi 40 Low 25

Forecast for Wednesday February 17th

Here is the forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies becoming clear overnight Low 21

Tomorrow: Clouds with occasional sun peeking through. A little windy.  Hi 34

Tomorrow Night: Clear with the winds dying down Low 22

Thursday: Sunny skies with little wind. Hi 38 Low 23

Friday: Getting to 40 degrees for the first time in a while with sunny skies Hi 40 Low 25

Coming tomorrow: Explaining how the solstices work and how it relates to our weather and a forecast

Recap of the Clipper and Looking Toward the Next Storm

Well this clipper turned out to be a partial bust for the area with the highest totals of 3 inches being in Bucks and Mercer counties. I would say most of the region made out with 1-2 inches of light powdery snow. Winds will pick up tonight and I would watch for some blowing of the snow that fell from the recent clipper. Our next chance of some sort of precipitation will be next Monday or Tuesday. Right now it is looking like a classic west to east storm (one that enters the west coast at the same latitude it exits at the east coast).

Here is a preview of the next storm:

Storm for Next Monday

Forecast for Tuesday, February 16th

Well, the clipper is coming through the area dropping down around 2-5 inches of snow in the northern part of the coverage area, and 1-3 inches in the southern areas. Here’s the forecast

Tonight: Snow, becoming steady at times. Accumulation of 2-5 inches. Low 26

Tomorrow: Some snow showers around during the mornng, then clearing out by the afternoon High 31

Tomorrow Night: Clear and cold Low 21

Wednesday: Mostly sunny throughout the day, getting warmer High 36 Low 24

Thursday: Sunshine with barely any clouds, getting even warmer. Expect melting of the snowpack High 39 Low 24

Coming tomorrow: Clipper recap, and forecast (highs getting into the 40s by Friday!!!)

Week in Review: 2/8/10-2/14/10

Monday: Monday was one of the best days of the week to just go outside and prepare for the Wednesday storm. No clouds in the sky with light winds made for a picture perfect winter day

Tuesday: Tuesday morning was sunny and cold with lows in the teens. As the day progressed, skies became cloudier and eventually by nighttime snow started to fall.

Wednesday: If anyone dared to go outside on Wednesday (like I did) they would be hit by 35 mph winds and whiteout conditions. 16-25 inches of snow fell on Wednesday, shutting down schools, businesses, and government offices up and down the I-95 corridor. There were 400,00 power outages across the area with the m

Thursday: The day after was devoted for cleanup and plowing. Many schools were closed yet again because many people were still either snowed in or without power. Sunny skies prevailed as Thursday came to an end.

Friday: Friday was a beautiful day with clear and sunny skies until nighttime. Many people finally made it out of their homes. Businesses and schools were almost back to normal. The winds also died down on Friday

Saturday:  Cloudy skies were pretty much the dominating feature on Saturday as a low pressure system passed to the south of us. Still cold, but the snowpack from the last two storms finally started to melt.

Sunday: Sunday was an average winter day. It was cold, partly cloudy, and a little breezy. The big talk on Sunday was the next clipper storm set to come into our area Monday Night. NWS (National Weather Service) also issued a Winter Storm Watch on Sunday with predicted totals of 4-8 inches.

Here is an overview temperature and precipitation wise for the coverage area:

Total Precip:

Total Precipitation in Inches for the Week

Temperature compared to normal for the past week:

Temperature Compared to Normal for 2/8/10-2/14/10

Forecast for Monday Feb 15 and Beyond

Hello everyone, sorry for the late forecast, pretty busy tonight:

Overnight: Clear skies for the most part Low 18

Tomorrow: Mostly sunny in the morning making way to cloudy skies by the afternoon Hi 32

Tomorrow Night:  Snow arriving after 7:00 PM, continuing through the night Low 27

Tuesday: Morning snow tapering off by the afternoon Hi 33 Low 22

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, nice day for some of that snowpack to melt! Hi 35 Low 21

Coming up tomorrow morning on the Philaburbia Weather Blog: The past week in review, new revelations (if any) on the next storm, and the daily forecast.