Last Update 10:00: Hello everyone it’s blog-master Jason here. I’m sorry for no updates for the last 4 hours. Brett still doesn’t have power and my cable went out and I had no internet access for 2-3 hours. Anyway, just guesstimating that I have 18-20 inches at my house. I took my dog outside, who is around 17 inches tall on four paws, and the snow almost covered her whole body. Snow is winding down over Bucks county east. This has been some storm, I have to say that nobody will see anything like we’ve experienced for the last 6 days for a long, long time.
I will have top snowfall totals tomorrow morning with a discussion for the next snowstorm on Monday Night into Tuesday (more like a 4-8 incher this time)
Update 5:15: Hello everyone it’s Blog-Master Jason Hirsch reporting. This storm really has shown all of its true colors in the last few hours. 2-3″ per hour snowfall rates have been plaguing the northern part of the coverage area for a while now. Some bad news from contributor Brett, his transformer near his house exploded when a branch fell from the weight of the snow onto the power lines. He will be out of commission for a little while as he does not have internet (nor power). I have a feeling that this storm isn’t departing for another 4-5 hours, so brace yourself inside and have a nice warm cup of soup. IF you need to go out onto the roads, be weary that it is extremely treacherous out there (Brett was helping a car that was stuck when the tree branch fell onto the power lines). I;m going to leave you now with a few pictures I took this afternoon:
Snow on Trees with Heavy SnowTotal Whiteout:)
3:00 update from Brett’s house:
Moderate to heavy snow continues to fall as wind gusts are on the increase in both frequency and strength. Ridiculous amounts of snow have accumulated on my deck over the past two storms (about 30 inches in some places). This storm, in my humble opinion, deserves “severe” status because of the length and heaviness of the period of snow and the wind strength, causing blizzard or “white-out” conditions. I look forward to keeping you posted on what’s happening in my neck of the woods for the rest of the storm.
Update at 2:30 from blogmaster Jason Hirsch : Just went outside into the blizzard. I actually got blown over by a super-strong wind gust! Snowing heavily now, I have around 10 inches at my house accumulated. The next few hours will be the worst of the storm as the low pressure wraps up and gets cranking out into the Atlantic.
Update: 12:20 PM from blogmaster Jason Hirsch:
Have been waiting for snow for the past few hours now… but still just sleet and freezing rain. I’d say we have few minutes until the precipitation turns to all snow. Then it’s blizzard time from there! Snow will pick up through the aftenoon into the night. Accumulation totals may be a notch lower than we predicted, but most of the area will probably still get a foot after the day is done. Here are some pictures that Brett took from his house, it looks like he has around 7 inches of snow/sleet:
Snow Piling Street
Snow Covered Deck
Another update from Brett’s house as of 8:15 am
Already, it can be seen on the radar that the storm is indeed starting to wrap its moisture around it and intensify. As Jason mentioned above, there is a blizzard warning posted for this afternoon, so, if you look outside and see that it has stopped snowing don’t be encouraged to go out on the roads or discouraged because of the lack of snow…. IT’S COMING!!!! Anyway, as Joe Bastardi always says, “Enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you got.” Below is a radar shot from 8:30 am.
Jason Hirsch’s Update: 7:30 AM:
Hello everyone, the National Weather Service has issued a blizzard warning just like I said a few posts ago. Right now some light snow if falling at my house and my guess is that we have 3-4 inches on the ground already with the worst to come. We are sticking with my snow map which shows 14-20 inches of snow. falling for most of the coverage area. We will have another update at 10:30 AM with some pictures (hopefully and the three day forecast with a little discussion for the upcoming storm on Monday Night). Enjoy the snow, signing out, Jason.
The latest observation from Brett’s house as of 11:00 pm:
It started to snow at a light to moderate clip at around 8:30 here in Lower Bucks. Ever since, it has been a steady, accumulating snow that has stuck to both the grassy surfaces and roadways. According to my best friend and fellow blogger Jason, the heaviest snow will occur tomorrow morning from 10 am to 4 pm. This will likely be the time where you either make it or break it for this storm. Locations that get hit hard by this heavy snow area will be in the higher end of the snowfall range. Anyway, sit back and relax and enjoy the blizzard, that’s all from me for now. Here is a radar image from right now:
Current Radar Image
Tuesday Night 10:55 PM: I’d like to welcome the latest member of the Philaburbia Weather squad, Brett Wiley! He will be a correspondent for the blog and will sporadically put in his input of the weather.. He has been studying the weather with me for many years now and his knowledge about weather is outstanding! Snow is still falling here at my house!
Tuesday night: 8:15
Well, the storm is underway at my house in Bucks County. We have around a coating already on the ground with much more to come. Comment, or send me your observations with the city you’re in, and I’ll post it on the blog!
Hello everyone! We are looking at one of the largest storms of the last 20 years on our hands. Many meteorologists believe that this one will be significantly worse than the one we had Saturday! Tomorrow will be a great day to STAY INSIDE, chill, and watch the beautiful snow fall from the sky. Many schools are closed already (PDS) and there will be many more closing as the night progresses.
I have made my first snow map ever. It is based off of the recent weather models and off of my opinion:
Snow totals for Wednesday Storm
And now to the three day forecast
Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, snow likely after 7:00 PM. Accumulations of 4-7 inches Low 25
Tomorrow: Heavy Snow, blizzard conditions possible. Winds in excess of 30 MPH. Snow Accumulations of 5-9 inches High 30
Tomorrow Night: Snow winding down after 8:00 PM becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Accum of 2-4 inches. Low 20
Thursday: Becoming partly cloudy, some peeks of sun after 11 AM. High 31Low 18
Friday: Mostly sunny throughout the whole day! High 33Low 17
I will be updating periodically throughout Tomorrow with snow totals and observations from around the area!!
Hello everyone. Before we get onto the three day forecast, I just want to reflect on the upcoming storm on Wednesday. We are currently under a Winter Storm Warning until midnight Wednesday. I think there could be a Blizzard warning as the day progresses Wednesday.
Here is my analysis:
Right now, there are two pieces of energy (or as common folk call them, storms!) in the midwest. As these two systems propel east by the jet-stream, they will phase together as one super large low pressure system off the New Jersey coast come Wednesday morning. Because of the significant phasing, the “nor-easter” will pretty much stall in the Atlantic for a few hours.
I have an image of what the phasing will look like according to the NAM weather model:
Phasing of the the Two Storms
Now, to the forecast
Tonight: Clear Skies and very cold, Low 14
Tomorrow: Increasing Clouds as the day progresses. Hi 32
Wednesday: Snow winds down as two systems phase in the morning. Snow picks up heavy in the afternoon. Blizzard conditions possible. Additional snow accumulations of 6-10 inches. Hi 29
Wednesday Night: Heavy snow in the evening (1 to 2″ per hour rates?), then winding down overnight. Low 20
Thursday & Thursday Night: Clearing out with a partly cloudy sky. Hi 31 Low 17
1. If you visit my blog regularly, you will notice the header picture right below the title changes daily. This header represents what the conditions are for the day. For example, if you see a blue sky with one cloud expect a nice day. If you see a lightning bolt with heavy rain, I would advise you to stay inside.
2. My forecasts are only going to predict the temperature and conditions three days in advance. The exact forecasts will be an average of all the counties covered by Philaburbia.
3. My forecasts will becolor coded. Here is a key to my colors:
Pink: 9° or below
Purple: 10° to 19°
Light Blue: 20° to 29°
Blue: 30º to 39°
Green: 40° to 49°
Yellow- Green: 50° – 59°
Yellow- 60° to 69°
Orange- 70° to 79°
Red- 80° to 89°
Black- 90° and above
Note that all of these temperature reading are measured in Fahrenheit.
Coming later today: My first forecast and more analysis of the Wednesday storm
Philaburbia weather is a place where someone living in the Philadelphia suburbs can look for their weather forecast and analysis.
I am Jason Hirsch and am a 10th grader at an area high school. Weather to me is a hobbie and a love.
I feel that many TV stations, websites, and blogs focus too much on the city of Philadelphia and not on the areas surrounding the city. I decided a few days ago that I wanted to take a stand and made Philaburbia.
My goal is to make the weather more precise and specific for anyone from Philadelphia on Northward and also have some fun!
These are the counties where I will focus most of my forecasts in: Bucks, Montgomery, Chester, Delaware, Mercer, Hunterdon, Somerset, Camden, and Burlington
I made a quick map to show the visual learner out there: 🙂
The Philaburbia Weather Coverage Area
Thank you for following the Philaburbia weather blog!
Philaburbia Weather Blog 